Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.
