Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
32.96% ( 0) | 27.26% ( 0) | 39.78% |
Both teams to score 49.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.24% ( -0) | 55.76% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.11% | 76.89% ( 0) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.41% ( 0) | 31.59% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.01% | 67.99% ( 0) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% | 27.41% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.12% | 62.88% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 51 |
7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
14 | Walsall | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 41 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 36 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
20 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 27 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 21 |
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