While Salford have failed to win any of their last eight home league games, Northampton have lost only one of their 11 away matches in League Two this season, and we think that they will continue that impressive record by claiming a narrow victory on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
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