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League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
SC

Grimsby Town
1 - 4
Salford City

Khan (21')
Glennon (22')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Smith (1', 34', 40'), Galbraith (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Salford City

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances in what will be a tight affair. This will be reflected in the scoreline, as Grimsby and Salford will prove inseparable and will come out of the match with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
35.19% (0.19 0.19) 26.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 37.85% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)54.24% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.041 -0.04)75.64% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.094999999999999 0.09)29.37% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.117 0.12)65.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (-0.14 -0.14)27.78% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (-0.181 -0.18)63.37% (0.183 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 35.19%
    Salford City 37.85%
    Draw 26.95%
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Harrogate 3-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Barrow
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Salford City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Bradford
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-4 Carlisle
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Peterborough
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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