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League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields
LO

Northampton
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Fox (51')
Fox (59'), Bowie (82'), Hylton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Archibald (64'), El Mizouni (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Swindon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Leyton Orient

Northampton Town have not fared well in this fixture of late, but their recent home record should give them reason for optimism. We expect an open and end-to-end clash with both teams going for maximum points, albeit all to no avail, with honours even in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
39.33% (-0.127 -0.13) 27.84% (-0.151 -0.15) 32.83% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.92% (0.499 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.07% (0.593 0.59)57.93% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (0.464 0.46)78.63% (-0.46600000000001 -0.47)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.212 0.21)28.7% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (0.266 0.27)64.52% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (0.498 0.5)32.79% (-0.501 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.552 0.55)69.35% (-0.554 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.33%
    Leyton Orient 32.83%
    Draw 27.83%
Northampton TownDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 13.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Swindon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Northampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-3 Northampton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 27 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Bradford
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two


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