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League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
ST

Northampton
1 - 2
Swindon

Hoskins (90')
Bowie (82'), Hoskins (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shade (26'), Lavinier (56')
Iandolo (45+2'), Shade (80'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Walsall
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Swindon Town

Northampton Town and Swindon have enjoyed a solid first half of the season and will be looking to close out the year on a high. However, the Cobblers head into the midweek match as the more in-form side and we are backing them to maintain their impressive run by claiming a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
39.55% (-0.389 -0.39) 27.23% (0.101 0.1) 33.22% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (-0.334 -0.33)55.57% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (-0.271 -0.27)76.74% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.375 -0.38)27.45% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (-0.486 -0.49)62.94% (0.485 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.54%
    Swindon Town 33.22%
    Draw 27.23%
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Northampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-3 Northampton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Walsall
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two


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