SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 54.87%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Stockport County |
23.13% ( 0.04) | 22% ( 0.02) | 54.87% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.63% ( -0.05) | 39.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.29% ( -0.05) | 61.72% ( 0.06) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( 0) | 30.38% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.43% ( 0) | 66.58% ( -0) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( -0.03) | 14.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.84% ( -0.07) | 42.16% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 23.14% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.87% |
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