Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
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