Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
