Carlisle
0 - 3
Swindon

Simeu (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Swindon Town
30.59%	26.86%	42.54%

Both teams to score 50.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13%

54.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84%

76.16%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22%

32.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66%

69.34%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48%

25.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63%

60.37%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 30.59%

Swindon Town 42.54%

Draw 26.86%

Carlisle United	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.59%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.54%