SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
50.84% ( -0.03) | 24.34% ( 0.02) | 24.81% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( -0.1) | 48.15% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( -0.1) | 70.31% ( 0.09) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( -0.05) | 18.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.53% ( -0.08) | 50.47% ( 0.08) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( -0.06) | 33.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.6% ( -0.06) | 70.4% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.82% |
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