Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.