SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
42.08% ( -0) | 24.73% ( 0) | 33.19% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( -0) | 45.03% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( -0) | 67.38% ( 0.01) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( -0) | 21.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.55% ( -0) | 54.45% ( 0.01) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( 0) | 26.15% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.77% | 61.23% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.19% |
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