SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
40.19% ( -0.14) | 26.87% ( 0.18) | 32.95% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( -0.73) | 54.21% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( -0.62) | 75.61% ( 0.62) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -0.41) | 26.46% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% ( -0.56) | 61.64% ( 0.56) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( -0.39) | 30.81% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( -0.46) | 67.09% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.19% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.95% |
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