Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
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