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League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
TR

Swindon
1 - 1
Tranmere

Wakeling (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hawkes (9')
Turnbull (34'), Nevitt (59'), Simeu (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Tranmere Rovers

Tranmere do not travel well to the County Ground, with a poor recent record there in recent years. That, combined with the fact that Swindon are slightly above them in the table, means that they may well fall to a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
51.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 26.03% (0.00099999999999767 0) 22.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.7% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.029 -0.03)77.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)40.56% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (-0.052 -0.05)77.16% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 51.39%
    Tranmere Rovers 22.55%
    Draw 26.03%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Swindon
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-1 Tranmere
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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