SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
19.41% ( 1.13) | 21.89% ( 0.78) | 58.69% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.24% ( -1.78) | 43.76% ( 1.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% ( -1.77) | 66.15% ( 1.77) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% ( 0.17) | 36.38% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.83% ( 0.17) | 73.16% ( -0.17) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( -1.17) | 14.58% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.34% ( -2.3) | 42.66% ( 2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.41% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 6.31% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.28)0-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.29)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.16)0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.69% |
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