Sutton are capable of making this a difficult match for Swindon despite their struggles this season, but we are finding it difficult to back against the home side, who hit Crawley for six in their last match in front of their own supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
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