Both Swindon and Crewe will fancy their chances of claiming their first League Two win of the new season on Saturday, but with little to separate these two sides, we can see the spoils being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
49.82% ( -0.01)	25.1% ( 0)	25.07% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.59% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.94% (

-0)

51.06% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.08% (

-0.01)

72.92% (

0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49% (

-0)

20.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47% (

-0.01)

53% (

0.01)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.9% (

35.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.15% (

71.85%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 49.82%

Crewe Alexandra 25.07%

Draw 25.1%

Swindon Town	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.82%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 25.07%