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League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
ST

Wrexham
5 - 5
Swindon

Bickerstaff (29'), Lee (51' pen., 90+6'), Jones (55', 90+2')
Boyle (76')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Young (17', 34'), Austin (27'), Kemp (31', 71')
Brewitt (20'), Kemp (56'), Blake-Tracy (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 4-2 Walsall
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 3-2 Swindon Town

An entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action is expected between these two sides on Saturday and both teams will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points. However, we believe that Wrexham will follow up their midweek home triumph with another success in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
44.43% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 23.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 31.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.012 -0.01)41.38% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.012 -0.01)63.78% (0.012 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96%60.04%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 44.43%
    Swindon Town 31.73%
    Draw 23.83%
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 4-2 Walsall
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Wigan (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 Wrexham
Thursday, July 20 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Swindon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Crewe
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Swindon (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Plymouth
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 7-1 Swindon
Tuesday, July 18 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Crawley
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two


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