Having lost consecutive games for the first time since last December, Oldham Athletic appear to have run out of steam. They go up against a spirited Walsall side who are unbeaten in four consecutive games and have won three straight on home turf. We are backing Walsall to come away with all three points and extend their recent dominance in the history of this fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.