Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.