Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
