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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wrexham |
36.78% ( 0.56) | 24.86% ( -0.11) | 38.36% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.57) | 45% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.55) | 67.35% ( -0.54) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( 0.57) | 24.08% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( 0.81) | 58.37% ( -0.8) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 0.03) | 23.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( 0.04) | 57.16% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.36% |
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