SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 50%. A win for Randers had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Randers win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Randers |
50% ( -1.27) | 23.22% ( 0.34) | 26.78% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 59.37% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.47% ( -0.81) | 41.53% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% ( -0.82) | 63.93% ( 0.82) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( -0.75) | 16.76% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.3% ( -1.37) | 46.7% ( 1.36) |
| Randers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( 0.27) | 28.67% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.51% ( 0.33) | 64.48% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Randers |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.27% Total : 50% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.48% Total : 26.78% |
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