SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Airdrieonians |
51.1% ( -0.34) | 23.14% ( 0.05) | 25.76% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 58.68% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( 0.01) | 42.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.02) | 64.41% ( -0.02) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( -0.12) | 16.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.7% ( -0.21) | 46.3% ( 0.2) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( 0.23) | 29.69% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( 0.28) | 65.74% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 51.1% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 25.76% |
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