Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Airdrieonians
31.35% ( -0.13)	24.12% ( -0.02)	44.53% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 59.41% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.12% (

0.03)

42.88% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.72% (

0.03)

65.28% (

-0.03)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.06)

26.24% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

-0.09)

61.35% (

0.09)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

0.07)

19.45% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.71% (

0.12)

51.29% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 31.35%

Airdrieonians 44.53%

Draw 24.12%

Dumbarton	Draw	Airdrieonians
2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.35%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 44.53%