Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Queen's Park |
59.89% ( -1.46) | 21.12% ( 0.4) | 18.99% ( 1.06) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.1% ( -0.11) | 40.9% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.71% ( -0.11) | 63.29% ( 0.12) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.72% ( -0.46) | 13.28% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.91% ( -0.94) | 40.09% ( 0.94) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.84% ( 1.08) | 35.16% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.09% ( 1.12) | 71.91% ( -1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.36% Total : 59.89% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.99% |
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