SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 58.28%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.47% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
58.28% ( 0.5) | 20.25% ( -0.14) | 21.47% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.91% ( 0.21) | 33.09% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.17% ( 0.24) | 54.82% ( -0.24) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.72% ( 0.2) | 11.28% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.1% ( 0.44) | 35.89% ( -0.44) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( -0.18) | 28.25% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.04% ( -0.23) | 63.96% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 21.47% |
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