SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
52.16% ( 0.15) | 24.77% ( -0.02) | 23.07% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( -0.02) | 51.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( -0.02) | 73.3% ( 0.02) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( 0.05) | 19.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% ( 0.08) | 51.74% ( -0.08) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( -0.13) | 37.14% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( -0.13) | 73.93% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.83% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.07% |
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