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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
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St Johnstone
0 - 1
Aberdeen


Considine (19'), Hallberg (40'), Phillips (43'), Carey (49'), Brown (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarkson (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 4-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Motherwell
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-3 Aberdeen

Goals are almost guaranteed in this game due to the poor defensive performances that the two teams have showcased in their respective opening matches. Aberdeen have proven that they can cause problems for teams with their offensive abilities, and because things are so early in this particular campaign they will be considered the favourites here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.35%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
33.68% (0.621 0.62) 29.73% (0.233 0.23) 36.59% (-0.854 -0.85)
Both teams to score 42.79% (-0.537 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.71% (-0.688 -0.69)64.29% (0.687 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.61% (-0.49 -0.49)83.39% (0.489 0.49)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.069000000000003 0.07)35.56% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.071000000000002 0.07)72.33% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (-0.907 -0.91)33.59% (0.906 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.76% (-1.002 -1)70.24% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 33.68%
    Aberdeen 36.59%
    Draw 29.72%
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 12.35% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.4% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 33.68%
1-1 @ 13.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.94% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.72%
0-1 @ 13.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rangers 4-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Hibernian
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Ayr
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Elgin 2-4 St Johnstone
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: QotS 2-2 St Johnstone (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Motherwell
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 St Mirren
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, July 31 at 4.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-0 Raith Rovers
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stirling 0-5 Aberdeen
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Dumbarton
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup


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