SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Club Brugge |
39.35% ( 0.01) | 24.38% ( -0) | 36.27% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.22% ( 0.01) | 42.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% ( 0.01) | 65.19% ( -0.01) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( 0.01) | 21.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.03% ( 0.01) | 54.97% ( -0.01) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( 0) | 23.34% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( 0) | 57.3% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0)3-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.27% |
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