On home soil, hit-and-miss Milan are generally much tougher to beat, despite their obvious frailties.
Mid-range opponents such as Club Brugge are usually dispatched, though there may not be too much between the sides after 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
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