SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Club Brugge |
27.83% ( -0.04) | 22.4% ( -0.07) | 49.76% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.18% ( 0.3) | 36.82% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.01% ( 0.33) | 58.99% ( -0.33) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.13) | 25.48% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( 0.18) | 60.32% ( -0.18) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( 0.14) | 15.11% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.33% ( 0.27) | 43.67% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.83% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.1% Total : 49.76% |
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