SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
59.11% ( 0.43) | 21.05% ( -0.08) | 19.84% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( -0.16) | 39.28% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.38% ( -0.17) | 61.62% ( 0.17) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( 0.07) | 13% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.48% ( 0.15) | 39.51% ( -0.15) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( -0.44) | 33.35% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( -0.49) | 69.97% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.62% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.84% |
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