SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Paksi SE had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Paksi SE win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Paksi SE |
39.52% ( 0.13) | 24.39% ( 0.01) | 36.08% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.89% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.13% ( -0.04) | 42.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.73% ( -0.04) | 65.27% ( 0.05) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( 0.04) | 21.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.11% ( 0.06) | 54.89% ( -0.06) |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( -0.09) | 23.49% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% ( -0.13) | 57.51% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Paksi SE |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.52% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.08% |
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