Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Larnaca would win this match.

Result
Torpedo-BelAZ	Draw	AEK Larnaca
33.34%	26.94% ( 0)	39.73% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6%

54.4% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22%

75.78% (

Torpedo-BelAZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35%

30.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1%

66.89% (

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

26.8% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91%

62.09% (

Score Analysis

Torpedo-BelAZ 33.34%

AEK Larnaca 39.72%

Draw 26.93%

Torpedo-BelAZ	Draw	AEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.34%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.72%