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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadyen Tarpeda

Torpedo-BelAZ
2 - 3
Larnaca

Glushchenkov (70'), Ovono (73')
Premudrov (42'), Shevchenko (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gyurcso (6' pen.), Casas (16'), Faraj (40')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Torpedo-BelAZ and AEK Larnaca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 0-0 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 6 at 4.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 4-0 Larnaca
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Larnaca would win this match.

Result
Torpedo-BelAZDrawAEK Larnaca
33.34%26.94% (0.00099999999999767 0) 39.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 50.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6%54.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22%75.78% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35%30.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1%66.89% (0.0020000000000095 0)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.8% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91%62.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Torpedo-BelAZ 33.34%
    AEK Larnaca 39.72%
    Draw 26.93%
Torpedo-BelAZDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.34%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 10.81%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-2 @ 7.12%
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 0-0 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 6 at 4.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: FC Minsk 1-0 Torpedo-BelAZ
Saturday, July 1 at 2.50pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 1-1 Energetik-BGU
Friday, June 23 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Gomel 0-3 Torpedo-BelAZ
Sunday, June 11 at 5.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 1-1 Soligorsk
Saturday, June 3 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Neman 0-0 Torpedo-BelAZ
Wednesday, May 24 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 4-0 Larnaca
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-0 Larnaca
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Larnaca 3-3 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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