SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Torpedo-BelAZ win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
52.25% ( -0.07) | 25.43% ( -0.02) | 22.32% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.7% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( 0.16) | 54.7% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% ( 0.13) | 76.02% ( -0.13) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( 0.03) | 20.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( 0.05) | 53.7% ( -0.05) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% ( 0.17) | 39.66% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% ( 0.16) | 76.34% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 22.32% |
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