SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Arbroath |
40.16% ( 0.14) | 24.65% ( -0.01) | 35.19% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( 0.02) | 44.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( 0.02) | 66.6% ( -0.02) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( 0.08) | 22% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( 0.12) | 55.32% ( -0.12) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.07) | 24.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -0.09) | 59.11% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.19% |
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