SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
34.53% ( 0.91) | 26.82% ( -0.15) | 38.65% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% ( 0.74) | 53.75% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.77% ( 0.63) | 75.23% ( -0.63) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( 0.96) | 29.55% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% ( 1.15) | 65.58% ( -1.16) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -0.08) | 27.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( -0.1) | 62.48% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.53% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
