SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Partick Thistle |
36.06% ( -0.54) | 24.81% ( 0.14) | 39.13% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -0.7) | 44.82% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% ( -0.68) | 67.18% ( 0.67) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -0.62) | 24.39% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( -0.88) | 58.81% ( 0.87) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( -0.11) | 22.77% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.53% ( -0.16) | 56.47% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.13% |
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