SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
40.57% ( -0.1) | 25.86% ( -0.04) | 33.58% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.19) | 49.91% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 0.17) | 71.9% ( -0.17) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( 0.03) | 24.3% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% ( 0.05) | 58.68% ( -0.05) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.18) | 28.27% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( 0.22) | 63.99% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.58% |
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