SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
44.33% ( 0.02) | 24.78% ( -0) | 30.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.9% ( -0) | 46.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( -0) | 68.4% ( 0.01) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( 0.01) | 20.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.45% ( 0.01) | 53.55% ( -0.01) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0.01) | 28.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( -0.02) | 63.81% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 2% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.89% |
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