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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
R

Auxerre
2 - 1
Reims

Diomande (16'), Traore (52')
Traore (23'), Akpa (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nakamura (90+5')
Atangana Edoa (1'), Buta (56'), Munetsi (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 3-1 Auxerre
Saturday, October 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 1-3 Reims

Auxerre have been extremely vulnerable in defence throughout this season, conceding 15 times in seven Ligue 1 fixtures, while Reims have been prolific in front of goal, netting 14 times, leading us to believe the visitors will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Reims had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawReims
41.57% (0.068000000000005 0.07) 25.64% (0.035 0.04) 32.79% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (-0.173 -0.17)49.2% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (-0.158 -0.16)71.26% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)23.48% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)57.5% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (-0.149 -0.15)28.43% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (-0.186 -0.19)64.18% (0.19 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 41.57%
    Reims 32.79%
    Draw 25.64%
AuxerreDrawReims
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Etienne 3-1 Auxerre
Saturday, October 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 3-0 Brest
Friday, September 27 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-2 Auxerre
Sunday, September 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 0-3 Monaco
Saturday, September 14 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Auxerre
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Reims
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-1 PSG
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Reims
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Reims
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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