Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Annecy win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.13) 
