Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Annecy had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Annecy win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.