SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.87%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 7.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.75%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Telstar |
79.87% ( -0.34) | 12.6% ( 0.17) | 7.53% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.22) | 28.4% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.76% ( -0.27) | 49.24% ( 0.26) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.49% ( -0.1) | 5.51% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.52% ( -0.29) | 21.48% ( 0.29) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.48% ( 0.25) | 44.51% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.46% ( 0.2) | 80.54% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-0 @ 10.3% 3-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.83% Total : 79.87% | 1-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.02% Total : 12.6% | 1-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 7.53% |
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