SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
60.58% ( 0.08) | 21.94% ( -0.01) | 17.48% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( -0.07) | 46.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( -0.06) | 69.21% ( 0.07) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.95% ( 0.01) | 15.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.45% ( 0.01) | 43.55% ( -0) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.56% ( -0.12) | 40.44% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.95% ( -0.11) | 77.05% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.48% |
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