Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.36%).
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