SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.48%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 5.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
82.48% ( 0.21) | 11.92% ( -0.09) | 5.6% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.82% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.03% ( -0.15) | 33.97% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.17% ( -0.17) | 55.83% ( 0.17) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.87% ( 0.01) | 6.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.74% ( 0.03) | 23.26% ( -0.02) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.62% ( -0.5) | 54.39% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.49% ( -0.31) | 87.51% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.31% Total : 82.47% | 1-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.51% Total : 11.93% | 0-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 5.6% |
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