Having already proved that their squad can cope with rotation, Lazio can travel to the Netherlands full of confidence that an unbeaten Europa League run will continue.
The Aquile could even fly home with maximum points, leaving a faltering Ajax side in some danger of missing out on a precious top-eight finish.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
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