Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Ajax has a probability of 33.32% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Ajax win is 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.07%).
