SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
43.45% ( -0.44) | 24.49% ( 0.26) | 32.05% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.42% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -1.12) | 44.31% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( -1.09) | 66.69% ( 1.1) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -0.66) | 20.51% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( -1.05) | 53% ( 1.05) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( -0.42) | 26.5% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% ( -0.57) | 61.7% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.05% |
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