SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
55.71% ( -0) | 22.27% ( 0) | 22.02% |
| Both teams to score 57.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( -0) | 41.96% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% ( -0) | 64.36% ( 0) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( -0) | 14.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.66% ( -0) | 43.33% ( 0) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% | 32.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( -0) | 69.36% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 6.26% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 55.71% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-1 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.02% |
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